Most of us here are talking about the security – how tight it is. This is a mixed blessing, of course. The extremely tight security can be reassuring; it can also be a colossal pain. To provide a minor example: I can’t take a walk from my hotel. And you can barely turn around without being checked in some way. And yet one recognizes that it is all to a purpose.
Can security be tight without being paralyzing? Maybe – but it is a delicate art.
***
We participants are certainly being treated royally. Normally, when you speak of “red-carpet treatment,” you’re using a metaphor; here that treatment is quite literal. And the red carpets didn’t begin at the Congress Center – they began at Cairo Airport. A person could get used to such treatment; but the carriage will turn back into a pumpkin soon enough.
***
May I comment on the food? Every time I come to the Middle East, I think that this must be the best cuisine in the world. It doesn’t matter where you are: Egypt, Israel, Jordan. The food is mouthwatering (and healthful-seeming, although that may be an illusion). Really, people should be too delighted with what they’re eating to have much time for hostilities.
***
Say this for the Egyptian government: They couldn’t be clearer about their central message. Their signs say, “Egypt: Open for Change”; “Egypt: Open for Challenge”; “Egypt: Open for Competition.” If this is truth in advertising, the Egyptian economy will be in good shape.
***
I thought, on Friday night, returning to my hotel, that I was beholding a naturalist’s nightmare: The Red Sea’s shoreline was ringed with lights. Unnatural indeed. But I confess to rather liking it.
***
Saturday breakfast was had with the prime minister of Egypt, Ahmed Nazif – a star here in Sharm El Sheikh, of course, as in Davos last January. I will admit to being unclear on what an Egyptian prime minister does – what his responsibilities are. But I imagine he does whatever the president orders him to do. (So it is in the U.S. with the vice president – his constitutional duties are very few; he has those powers that the president happens to accord him.)
In my experience, no one in the Middle East talks more encouragingly than Prime Minister Nazif. He’s like those signs put out by our Egyptian hosts – promising openness, change, reform. Perhaps he’s the one who put them out!
After listening to him last January, I wrote that he sounded like a chair-holder at the American Enterprise Institute – the think-tank in Washington, D.C., that is a trumpet of liberalism (in the classical sense).
At the Saturday breakfast, Prime Minister Nazif began by saying that “there is no shortage of issues in the Middle East.” A nice understatement, that. He boasted of Egypt’s 6 percent growth rate, and stressed that the country is opening up politically. “There’s no turning back,” he said. He pronounced last year’s presidential election a success: a clean, First World operation. Yet we know that the democrat Ayman Nour is in jail.
In the course of his remarks, the prime minister allowed, “I realize we’re not totally there yet” – not all the way to bona fide democracy – “and we all realize that.” But “democracy takes time,” and in fact many years. “We have time. We’re not in a hurry.”
Moreover, said Prime Minister Nazif, “some people are scared” of changes afoot in Egypt. But “I’m not.”
And how about those two judges, who were rounded on when they pointed out fraud in recent elections? He referred to them and their supporters as “a special-interest group” – which has a certain connotation, at least in America. I’m not sure that Prime Minister Nazif meant to use that phrase. It seems to me that the independence of the judiciary, and freedom of expression, are universal interests, not special ones.
In any case, Prime Minister Nazif gave no quarter on the judges issue. He said, “The president could have interfered, but he didn’t – we stuck to the law.”
Like most officials and politicians, Prime Minister Nazif has some gripes about the world media. He said that they – perhaps I should say we! – tend to portray Egypt as a glass half empty. But “we are filling in the other half.”
As far as I can tell, Ahmed Nazif is a genuine Arab reformer (to the extent that a member of the ruling elites can be such a reformer). If he is not, he’s certainly well disguised as one. And what can outsiders do except root for these people?
***
As far as I’m concerned, the line of the conference so far belongs to Mark Adams, head of communications for the WEF. With an eye to the clock, he said, “We’d like to run on Swiss time, even though we’re in Egypt.”
***
At these WEF conferences, there’s always one thing I’m amazed at: the variety of cellphone rings. Today, I heard traditional Middle Eastern music out of a cellphone – it might have been a twilight wail in the desert. Remarkable.
***
Following the breakfast with Prime Minister Nazif, some of us had breakfast – or a post-breakfast – with the prime minister of Pakistan, Shaukat Aziz. What a polished performer. No wonder he rose so high in the world of finance, and in the politics of Musharraf’s Pakistan.
Prime Minister Aziz discussed Iran at some length. Iran is a warm ally of Pakistan – even a partner, you might say – and the prime minister made no apology for this. Indeed, he said that Pakistan hopes to “expand” its relations with Iran.
They are working on a pipeline with Iran, for “gas is what we need to fuel our growth.”
About Iran’s nuclear program, he said two things (repeatedly): Pakistan is opposed to Iran’s acquiring an A-bomb; and Pakistan is opposed – absolutely opposed – to any use of force to stop such acquisition.
Well, what if that stance is untenable? What if you can’t prevent Iran from acquiring an A-bomb without the use of force? What is Pakistan’s preference: that the mullahs go nuclear or that force be used against them?
That question was unaddressed.
I asked how the fight against al-Qaeda was going. Prime Minister Aziz did not want to talk about al-Qaeda in particular, but about terrorism in general. He said that governments had to fight terrorism – but then delivered a little sermon on “root causes.”
Yes, our old friend root causes, the RCs. I used to be big on root causes, back when I was in college, I’d say. But then the realization dawned: Lots of people have grievances, including very severe and justifiable grievances. And they don’t commit terror. They don’t go on mass-murder sprees, or behead.
Besides which, a lot of these terrorists are downright wealthy.
And Prime Minister Aziz never answered the question how the fight against al-Qaeda was going. My impression is, fairly well. But the PM of Pakistan would know a lot better.
At one point, Prime Minister Aziz was pressed on Israel – what did he think of the Iranian president’s vow (and Mr. Aziz has met repeatedly with Ahmadinejad) to destroy Israel? The prime minister would say only that he thought every nation had a right to exist, and in peace. Which is something.
These matters aside, Prime Minister Aziz, like his counterpart in Egypt, seems the very model of a Muslim-world reformer. He recited the following string of words: “liberalization, deregulation, privatization, transparency, improvement in governance.” What sweet, sweet music. And what might be called the World Economic Forum’s theme song.
***
Oh, and one more thing. You know how I said I wasn’t sure what the prime minister of Egypt does? I’m not sure about the prime minister of Pakistan, either. But as long as they know . . .
Jay Nordlinger
Managing Editor
National Review